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CFL week 4 stuff - 7/11/2017 10:05:26 AM   
Thomas


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 CFL Betting Recap - Week 3
July 10, 2017
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com

League Betting Notes

-- Favorites/underdogs went 2-2 SU in Week 3
-- Favorites/underdogs went 2-2 ATS in Week 3
-- Road teams posted a 3-1 SU record in Week 3
-- Road teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 3
-- The 'Under' went 3-1 in Week 3

Analysis

Favorites and underdogs split for the first time this season, as two out of four favorites ended up cashing after going 0-8 ATS through the first two Canadian weekends. Road teams continue to go strong, going 3-1 SU/ATS. That's now 9-3 ATS through the first three weekends. Last week, we mentioned this was a trend that was all too familiar in the CFL last season, as road teams finished 16-2-2 ATS in the first five weekends of the 2016 regular season.

The 'under' is also hitting at a 66.7 percent clip through the first three weekends, going 8-4 through 12 regular season games. It's a trend we also saw last season, with the 'under' 19-8-1 through the first seven weekends in 2016. Defense reigned surpreme again in Week 3, with only the Hamilton (0-2)-Saskatchewan (1-2) game connecting for the 'over' (52) in a 37-20 win by the Roughriders.

The over has hit in each of Saskatchewan's two home games after an under result on the road in Week 1. Unfortunately for total bettors in Week 4, the Roughriders will be on their bye week. Montreal (1-2) will be in action, however, and they have been a favorite of bettors at the window. The 'under' is a perfect 3-0 so far this season.

Team Betting Notes

-- The Alouettes have dropped two in a row after a win against the Riders in the opening weekend. Montreal's offense has struggled, averaging just 17.3 points per game (PPG) through three outings. In addition, they have managed an 0-2 ATS mark in two home outings. They'll be back at Percival Molson Memorial Stadium in Week 4 when Calgary (2-0-1) comes calling.

-- Speaking of the Stampeders, they're unbeaten through their first three regular season games. After failing to cover in their home-and-home against Ottawa (0-2-1) the Stamps won and covered in Winnipeg (1-1). Their defense was the talk in Week 3, as they allowed 10 points for an 'under' result after yielding 35.0 PPG in the first two games.

-- The TigerCats didn't benefit much from their bye in Week 2, as they returned to action and were roughed up in Saskatchewan by a 37-20 score. The TiCats are 0-2 SU/ATS through the first two weeks, both on the road. They'll return home in Week 4.

-- BC Lions (2-1) will be the first visitor at Tim Hortons Stadium in Hamilton, and the Lions hope the good times continue to roll on the road. They're a perfect 2-0 SU/ATS in stops in Toronto (2-1) and Montreal. Also perfect is the 3-0 'under' record for the Lions, as they're allowing just 20.3 PPG through three outings.

-- The Argonauts pulled off a victory in Canada's capital city, edging the RedBlacks 26-25 in Week 3. Toronto is allowing 22.7 PPG through three games while scoring 24.3 points. That's the reason the 'under' has cashed in all three games with a total set at 54 1/2 or 55 so far.

-- Edmonton (2-0) will return from their bye looking to add to the woes of the RedBlacks at Commonwealth Stadium. So far the Esks are perfect on the season, and so is the 'under' at 2-0. Ottawa's high-octane offense 31.7 PPG will be a huge test for the Edmonton D.


CFL Betting Notes - Week 4
July 10, 2017
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com



British Columbia became the first CFL favorite to cover against the spread this season with last Thursday’s 23-16 victory against Montreal as a three-point favorite on the road. Calgary kept things going with Friday’s 29-10 win against Winnipeg as a 3 ½-point road favorite.

The other half of Friday’s CFL action saw Toronto win on the road as a four-point underdog in a tight 26-25 victory over Ottawa and Week 3 came to an end on Saturday with Saskatchewan knocking off Hamilton 37-20 as a slight one-point underdog at home.

Thursday, July 13

Toronto Argonauts (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS) vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Winnipeg -3
Total: 52 ½

Game Overview

Toronto’s victory against Ottawa last week was a big step in the right direction following a poor second half against British Columbia at home in Week 2. A healthy Ricky Ray has been the difference on offense and he continues to lead the CFL in passing with 1,199 yards in his first three games. Against the RedBlacks, he completed 27 of his 41 passing attempts for 366 yards and two scores.

The Blue Bombers scored 43 points in their season-opening win against Saskatchewan on the road, but they came up flat against Calgary last week on their home field. They actually led that game 10-9 at the half before getting completely shut down over the next two quarters. Winnipeg quarterback Matt Nichols threw for 267 yards against the Stampeders, but he did not help his cause with a costly fourth-quarter interception that was returned for a touchdown.

Betting Trends

-- Winnipeg won both meetings last season straight-up while also covering ATS. The total went OVER the closing line in both contests and it has gone OVER in five of the last seven meetings.

Friday, July 14

Calgary Stampeders (2-0-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) vs. Montreal Alouettes (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -5 ½
Total: 49

Game Overview

Calgary is once again starting to assert itself as the top team in the CFL. After racking up 74 points in a season-opening home-and-home series against Ottawa, the Stampeders relied on its defense to get the win last week at Winnipeg. Bo Levi Mitchell put the ball up 34 times against the Blue Bombers and he completed 22 passes for 332 yards and a score; however he was also picked off twice in that game.

The Alouettes saw their chances for a big win against BC fade with a late interception by Darian Durant, but the Montreal signal caller still finished the day with 245 yards passing while completing an efficient 66.7 percent of his 36 attempts. Defense still remains the primary strength of this team and with an average of just 20.7 points allowed through the Alouettes’ first three games, the total has stayed UNDER in all three contests.

Betting Trends

-- Montreal has covered ATS in its last five games against Calgary and it has a 3-2 edge SU in this inter-division matchup. The total has stayed UNDER in the last six meetings between the two.

Ottawa RedBlacks (0-2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS) vs. Edmonton Eskimos (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -6
Total: 57 ½

Game Overview

The RedBlacks are still searching for their first SU win of the season behind a defense that has allowed an average of 33.3 points over its first three games. Offensively, Ottawa quarterback Trevor Harris has thrown for 1,095 yards and seven touchdowns while completing 73.2 percent of his 123 passing attempts. Greg Ellingson has been his primary target with 25 receptions for a league-high 369 yards.

Edmonton comes off the bye as the only undefeated team in the CFL. The Eskimos stunned BC as four-point road underdogs in Week 1 with a SU 30-27 victory, but they could not cover as nine-point home favorites in a tight four-point win against Montreal in Week 2. Heading into this contest, quarterback Mike Reilly has thrown for 601 yards and three touchdowns in those first two games. John White has done a good job running the ball with 112 yards on 20 carries.

Betting Trends

-- Ottawa has won the last three meetings SU and it has a 3-1 edge ATS in its last four games against the Eskimos. The total has stayed UNDER in five of the last eight games in this inter-division tilt.

Saturday, July 15

British Columbia Lions (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS) vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats (0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS)
Point-spread: BC -3
Total: 49

Game Overview

The Lions have won their last two games by a combined 20 points following that Week 1 loss to Edmonton. Behind improved play on defense, the total has stayed UNDER in all three of their games. Jonathon Jennings has proven to be one of the more versatile quarterbacks in the CFL with 853 yards passing and another 87 yards rushing through his first three starts. The Lions’ leading rusher has been Jeremiah Johnson with 196 yards on 35 carries.

Hamilton will be playing its first home game of the season following road losses to Toronto and Saskatchewan both SU and ATS. The total went OVER 52 points in last week’s loss after staying UNDER in its season opener. A healthy Zach Collaros has completed 45 of his first 73 passing attempts for 431 yards, but the Tiger-Cats’ ground game as been almost nonexistent with Ross Scheuerman leading the way with 19 yards on five rushing attempts.

Betting Trends

-- BC has covered ATS in five of the last six meetings and it has won the last three games in this matchup SU. The total has gone OVER in six of the last eight games between these two inter-division foes.



< Message edited by Thomas -- 7/11/2017 10:07:11 AM >


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Tom
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RE: CFL week 4 stuff - 7/12/2017 4:46:29 PM   
Thomas


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2-0 lw  10-4 std

Toronto 3.5
tor/win Over 54


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Tom

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RE: CFL week 4 stuff - 7/13/2017 7:01:15 AM   
sportspicks


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Money pouring in on the OVER Tom, looks like sharp money, like your play.

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RE: CFL week 4 stuff - 7/13/2017 11:55:29 AM   
greek

 

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Calgary / Montreal lookin' 4 Total Over 48 👎48.5

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RE: CFL week 4 stuff - 7/13/2017 2:50:43 PM   
sportspicks


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More and more unsure about this game Tom. Jumped off total and if I had to play it I think go Winnipeg.


I hope you're right. Great record so far.

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RE: CFL week 4 stuff - 7/14/2017 7:26:54 AM   
Meestermike


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From: Southern Ontario, Canada
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Went shopping & found this at the mall IYKWIM

quote:

CFL.CA GAME NOTES: A LOOK AT WEEK 4



ORONTO — The fourth week of the CFL’s 2017 season is sure to bring just
as many fireworks and excitement as the first three have already shown
us.



The week kicks off in Winnipeg on Friday night as the Blue Bombers play
host to the Toronto Argonauts. The Argos will head west fresh off a win
over divisional rivals the Ottawa REDBLACKS in Week 3. Ricky Ray has
found magic with receiver SJ Green early in the season and will be
looking to his favourite wideout often in this week’s contest. After a
loss to the Stampeders in Week 3, Matt Nichols and his Bombers will be
looking for a bounce-back performance at home and will have to figure
out how to solve Toronto’s stellar defence.



Things then head East for the first half of Friday night’s doubleheader
as the Calgary Stampeders head to Montreal for a tussle with the
Alouettes. Calgary is still unbeaten this season, continuing their
dominance in the West. Bo Levi Mitchell helped his team to a comeback
victory last week, making key second half adjustments for the win.
Darian Durant and his offence, on the other hand, have yet to gel
together and will be looking to find the magic this week.



The second half of the doubleheader takes place in Edmonton as the
Eskimos play host to the Ottawa REDBLACKS. Fresh off a bye, the Esks
will be looking to keep their team undefeated while the REDBLACKS will
be looking for their first win of the season. Something has to give for
either team.



Week 4 wraps up in Hamilton as the BC Lions visit the Tiger-Cats. After
starting the season 0-2, Hamilton will be looking to spark their team
with a win in their home opener. The Lions, on the other hand, are
hoping to head back to BC from their eastern swing with a perfect 3-0
record. The Lions have a chance to keep their stellar offence rolling as
they will try to expose a struggling Hamilton secondary. Hamilton, on
the other hand, will hope Zach Collaros can get their offence back to
true form.



THIS WEEK IN THE CFL



AFTER THREE




Through 12 games the average points per game is 52.9. That is the exact
same average from the 2016 season, a 16 per cent increase compared to
the 2015 campaign.

Penalties continue to decline – through three weeks the average per game is under 17 – a 5 per cent decline.

67 per cent of games this season have been decided in the last three
minutes and 58 per cent of games have been decided by four points or
fewer.

Following last season where road teams won more games than the home side
since 1981, the trend has continued into the early portion of the 2017
season. Away teams are 6-5-1.

Game duration is currently at 2:49, the shortest average game time in the last five years.

The running attack has slowed down this season averaging 150 yards per
game. Running has accounted for 19 per cent of the total yards gained
(rushing and Passing) this season. That is the lowest proportion of the
total in the entire history of the CFL.





TACKLE MASTER



In the Lions’ 23-16 win over the Montreal Alouettes, linebacker Solomon
Elimimian recorded 15 defensive tackles in a single game to break his
own club record that he set last season.

The feat of 15 tackles (Defensive and Special Teams combined) by a
player has now occurred in a single game just five times in CFL history.

Reggie Hunt – 18 tackles (16 DT, 2 STT) July 10/03

Calvin Tiggle – 15 tackles (15 DT, 0 STT) August 19/99

Willie Fells – 15 tackles (11 DT, 4 STT) June 28/02

Ian Wild – 15 tackles (14 DT, 1 STT) August 22/14

Solomon Elimimian – 15 tackles (15 DT, 0 STT) July 6/17



Since joining the league in 2010, Elimimian has recorded 15 games with 10+ tackles.

Elimimian who leads the league with 29 tackles in 2017, now has 634
tackles in his career, placing him 17th on the all-time tackles list.





300 TOUCHDOWNS



Ricky Ray joined the 300-touchdown club following his 10-yard touchdown pass to DeVier Posey on Saturday Night.

The 300 TD club currently includes Anthony Calvillo (455), Damon Allen
(394), Henry Burris (373), Ron Lancaster (333), Matt Dunigan (303) and
Ricky Ray (300).

Ray accomplished the feat in 219 games, the third fastest in history:
Matt Dunigan did it in 191 games and Henry Burris did it in 209 games.

66 different players have caught a touchdown pass from Ricky Ray. The
top five include Jason Tucker (42), Fred Stamps (26), Jason Barnes (24),
Ed Hervey (18) and Chad Owens (14).





BUTLER’S HOT START



In his first three CFL games, Victor Butler has notched seven sacks.

To put his pace in perspective, Butler has as many sacks as the Calgary
Stampeders, who have the second-most sacks for a team this season with
seven.

His pace through three games hasn’t been touched since 2005 when BC’s
Brent Johnson recorded six in his first three showings. Johnson finished
that season with 17 sacks – the most ever by a Canadian.

During the 1999 season, Montreal’s Elfrid Payton recorded eight sacks
through three games and Joe Montford had seven for Hamilton. Montford
finished that season with the second most sacks in a season with 26.

The Argonauts lead the league with 14 sacks and have four players with
multiple sacks: Butler (7), Shawn Lemon (2), Cleyon Laing (2) and
Jeffrey Finley (2).

No team has scored a touchdown this season on a drive where they allowed a quarterback sack.





WEEK 4 GAME NOTES



Bo Knows:
Bo Levi Mitchell continues to set the bar high for
quarterbacks. He is now undefeated in 19 regular season games in a row
(17-0-2 during that span). Only five quarterbacks have gone unbeaten for
11 or more starts in a row: Warren Moon (13), Kenny Ploen (12 on two
different occasions), Ron Lancaster (11) and Doug Flutie (11).
Mitchell’s career record as a starter is 45-7-2 (.852), far ahead of
number two Doug Flutie at 94-32 (.746).



200 Yards:
SJ Green’s 10 catches for 210 yards in Week 3 was a
personal best. He became the eighth Argonaut to go over 200 yards in a
game, joining Terry Greer, Pernell Moore, Paul Masotti, Manny Hazard,
Derrell Mitchell, Darrell K. Smith and David Williams. Green needs seven
yards for 7,000 in his career and 53 more yards to join the Top-50
receiving yard list.



Impressive Kicking: Sean Whyte and Justin Medlock are each riding
a 24-consecutive successful field goal attempts. That puts them tied
for the sixth-longest streak of all-time.



Lewis Chasing Records: Montreal’s Nik Lewis needs eight more receptions
for 1,000 receptions in his career and is also 21 yards away from
surpassing Ben Cahoon for sixth on the all-time receiving yards list.



QUAR Ratings: Roughriders quarterback Kevin Glenn recorded the
highest QUAR rating this week with a rating of 97.6. Edmonton’s Mike
Reilly has the highest rating this season at 92.9.



No Wins, High Points: Ottawa, despite not yet registering a victory in
2017, averages the second-most points in the league with an average of
31.7 points per game.



No Wins, No Problem: The most recent team to win the Grey Cup and
not have a win through three games the following season was the 2003
Edmonton Eskimos, who started the season 0-3.




< Message edited by Meestermike -- 7/14/2017 7:27:36 AM >


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Make more $$$ today than what you made or lost yesterday.

NBL... No Bad Luck

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RE: CFL week 4 stuff - 7/14/2017 10:18:56 AM   
greek

 

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4:05 PM (PDT) Calgary / Montreal Over 48.5 Total Points 💵

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commishonergordon


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RE: CFL week 4 stuff - 7/14/2017 1:39:51 PM   
Thomas


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Good read Mike Thanks. Thought for sure Toronto would score at the end for the backdoor or tie  but not to be as Ray throws int to end it. I was actually in Winnipeg yesterday drove out with a farm buddy who was going to pick up a part he needed we just drove there and back took 12 hours but I did do a pizza run while I was there so everyone here was thrilled. Only see a couple of minutes of the game but I did at least get the over.

Tonight I will take
Calgary -4.5
Ottawa 3.5


< Message edited by Thomas -- 7/14/2017 1:42:03 PM >


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RE: CFL week 4 stuff - 7/14/2017 3:12:56 PM   
sportspicks


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I see more ads for Pizza up there Tom! Pizza 73, Boston Pizza and more!

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RE: CFL week 4 stuff - 7/15/2017 12:33:18 AM   
Thomas


Posts: 26571
Joined: 9/2/2000
From: Canada
Status: offline
Finish off wk 4 with

Hamilton 3.5




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Tom

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RE: CFL week 4 stuff - 7/15/2017 6:11:46 AM   
teamfball

 

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GL tonight Thomas,

Though I have no skin in the game my AFS system is locked and loaded waiting for teams to reach a minimum of three games played. BC shows lots of value this week. But because Hamilton only played two games it’s precluded
from being a large investment for me. Regardless, last weeks Roughrider cover and a Lions cover this week will validate the strength of the early season numbers.

Numbers / Shmumbers…right!       

I’m still pouting…… because I missed those
early season dogs,   Dammit!




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RE: CFL week 4 stuff - 7/15/2017 12:11:48 PM   
Thomas


Posts: 26571
Joined: 9/2/2000
From: Canada
Status: offline
I'm thinking like a fan today George and that the cats badly need a win. No wins and a home game with one of the better coaches in the league I'm kinda feeling they get a cover here. But it's just a gut feeling which I'm about 50% on lifetime lol.


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Tom

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RE: CFL week 4 stuff - 7/15/2017 12:45:02 PM   
Meestermike


Posts: 1122
Joined: 8/3/2015
From: Southern Ontario, Canada
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Thomas
Finish off wk 4 with
Hamilton 3.5


I agree Thomas... HAM +3 +112 for me as well as ML +148

_____________________________

Make more $$$ today than what you made or lost yesterday.

NBL... No Bad Luck

(in reply to Thomas)
Post #: 13
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