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How to win in the NBA totals game - 1/24/2013 11:44:37 AM   
hellbringer507

 

Posts: 228
Joined: 8/8/2002
From: las vegas
Status: offline
Set your formulas to "using last 1500 dates" tune them for best totals units and percent tune them until they are all over 61%
get at least 50 formulas in a consensus that are all at least 61%
set your method to "majority vote" and set it to " at least 3 formulas"
pick one time of the day to update your lines and write down and bet every game it picks
do not look back and do not update the lines again and start second guessing if you check your picks at different times of the day the lines will change and the picks will change, I am not sure what there are such big changes in the picks through out the day but there are. Forget about it, just be consistent with the time of the day you get your picks. Do this and you WILL make money.

Good Luck
Jeff

< Message edited by hellbringer507 -- 1/24/2013 5:15:33 PM >
Post #: 1
RE: How to win in the NBA totals game - 1/28/2013 12:59:27 PM   
lain

 

Posts: 97
Joined: 8/18/2006
Status: offline
What % is the formula group winning at?


(in reply to hellbringer507)
Post #: 2
RE: How to win in the NBA totals game - 1/28/2013 1:38:39 PM   
hellbringer507

 

Posts: 228
Joined: 8/8/2002
From: las vegas
Status: offline



Since I am adding new / better formulas every day ( I tune them all night of 4 different computers ) the winning percent of the consensus changes, but in the last month I am 62.5%.I am still testing some ideas, however after working with Winpicks for years I am convinced the place to focus on is NBA Totals and really all I have left to decide on is where to set the "Method" within the consensus settings. In the last few days I have been looking at :

Use 60 formulas, formulas are set to use 1500 dates.

Set Method : Unanimous  / At least = 1
formula ( you will get many picks per night but you will win more units this way )


Do not bet any games played before 4 pm

Run the formulas at 3 :45 for internet bets. ( the main thing is to be consistent and let the lines settle as long as you can )

 Run the formulas at 3:30 for casino bets. ( this has to do with how long it takes me to make the bets )

 Add better formulas every day but always cull
back to 60 formulas.
 

All formulas must be at least 60%
 
 I hope this can help other people
 Jeff
 

(in reply to lain)
Post #: 3
RE: How to win in the NBA totals game - 1/29/2013 12:13:14 AM   
lain

 

Posts: 97
Joined: 8/18/2006
Status: offline
I want daily updates on your progress.


(in reply to hellbringer507)
Post #: 4
H E L P with line changes - 1/29/2013 11:51:53 AM   
hellbringer507

 

Posts: 228
Joined: 8/8/2002
From: las vegas
Status: offline



This whole line change deal in NBA totals really is making things hard.
 
I do not know at what time to run the formulas for the last time ?
I guess seconds before the game because last night at 3:45 Vegas time
I got my picks and made my bets and came home and rechecked the picks and they
were different. I assume that the results are based on the lines in the last second before
the games. maybe someone could help me understand this, maybe in the future there could be a
cut off time for line changes to be downloaded so the results a a real life situation would
match the end result in the winpicks record.
 

(in reply to hellbringer507)
Post #: 5
RE: H E L P with line changes - 1/29/2013 3:49:08 PM   
lain

 

Posts: 97
Joined: 8/18/2006
Status: offline
What is your best single formula units wise, and percentage wise? What do you name them to keep track of them?


(in reply to hellbringer507)
Post #: 6
RE: H E L P with line changes - 1/29/2013 3:55:10 PM   
hellbringer507

 

Posts: 228
Joined: 8/8/2002
From: las vegas
Status: offline



keep in mine I tune them at "using last" 1500 games, and I tune them for best percent.we are just talking NBA totals. SO_003T   101.5 units B605mats  70.5 % I just uploaded both of these in the formula warehouse, make them better and pass them on !

(in reply to lain)
Post #: 7
RE: H E L P with line changes - 1/29/2013 4:04:07 PM   
lain

 

Posts: 97
Joined: 8/18/2006
Status: offline
I do not own the NBA version, it is the only version I never used. I currently have the nfl, and college football version. I used the college basketball version in the past. What I do for the nfl is keep the date at the start of the season, and test all the way back to 1985, then I test it with the current season to see if it wins without me ever tuning the current season.


(in reply to hellbringer507)
Post #: 8
RE: H E L P with line changes - 1/29/2013 4:23:04 PM   
hellbringer507

 

Posts: 228
Joined: 8/8/2002
From: las vegas
Status: offline



Man you should get the NBA  software.I have always thought it would be good to tune in very large blocks of  time, and work towards high percent and then throw out the high percent formulas that do not make enough picks so you get a good balance.I am thinking about getting a group of formulas that go somewhere around 65% with + 50 more units and then just sit on them all season and do not change a thing. Once I get a handle on the whole line movement thing I will set in place a good plan for next season in the NBA Total game. I knew this was going to be a year where I made many adjustments.I swear by Winpicks for NBA Totals and I always make $$$ with it. I have had some luck with the CBB software but it takes forever to tune those formulas and I only have so much computer power.Good luckJeff 

(in reply to lain)
Post #: 9
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