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Win-Picks formula - 11/1/2000 12:00:00 AM   
GRAMPS

 

Posts: 248
Joined: 8/23/1999
From: Delaware
Status: offline
This is my most consistant formula over the years, yieding around a 55% win rate with all kinds of action.
This year as follows:

Analyze Formula: 11_YEAR

Date SUR Record SUR Percent ATS Record ATS Percent ATS Net Units
ALL DATES 80-48-0 62.50 73-47-5 60.80% 21.3
Oct 30, 0-1-0 0.00% 1-0-0 100.00% 1
Oct 29, 11/2/00 84.60% 10/3/00 76.90% 6.7
Oct 23, 0-1-0 0.00% ----- ----- -----
Oct 22, 8/4/00 66.70% 8/4/00 66.70% 3.6
Oct 19, 0-1-0 0.00% 1-0-0 100.00% 1
Oct 16, 1-0-0 100.00% 1-0-0 100.00% 1
Oct 15, 9/4/00 69.20% 6/5/00 54.50% 0.5
Oct 9, 1-0-0 100.00% 1-0-0 100.00% 1
Oct 8, 8/5/00 61.50% 4/7/01 36.40% -3.7
Oct 2, 1-0-0 100.00% 0-1-0 0.00 -1.1 Oct 1,10/3/00 76.90% 8/5/00 61.50% 2.5
Sep 25, 1-0-0 100.00% 0-1-0 0.00% -1.1
Sep 24,5/8/00 38.50% 6/7/00 46.20% -1.7
Sep 18,0-1-0 0.00% 1-0-0 100.00% 1
Sep 17,9/4/00 69.20% 9/2/02 81.80% 6.8
Sep 11, 1-0-0 100.00% 0-1-0 0.00% -1.1
Sep 10, 7/7/00 50.00% 8/5/01 61.50% 2.5
Sep 4, 1-0-0 100.00% 1-0-0 100.00% 1
Sep 3, 7/7/00 50.00% 8/6/00 57.10% 1.4

Let me know what you think.

Pass yards=14.5
Interceptions=16.7
times sacked= 19.3
yds per rush=24.8
yds per pass=24.7
HFA=1.0
LBW=0
UBW=100

Post #: 1
RE: Win-Picks formula - 11/1/2000 4:01:00 PM   
AKDave

 

Posts: 465
Joined: 10/7/1998
From: Anchorage
Status: offline
Gramps- Thanks for all your input in this section. It is appreciated. What is the database on the formula?

(in reply to GRAMPS)
Post #: 2
RE: Win-Picks formula - 11/2/2000 2:39:00 PM   
GRAMPS

 

Posts: 248
Joined: 8/23/1999
From: Delaware
Status: offline
2 game rolling average.

(in reply to GRAMPS)
Post #: 3
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