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Does anybody find... - 11/2/1998 12:00:00 AM   
John H

 

Posts: 1336
Joined: 10/6/1998
From: toronto
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That the WinPicks college programme falls in love with certain teams? I've got a couple that pop up clemson, ark. St., SDS, SJ State and Northeast Louisiana like clockwork.

BTW, I've put together a new set of pro consensus that are hitting a great rate -- went 6-0 on sunday, plus I've used Surelock to creat a couple of new formulae that are, at least for the moment. If anyone wants my RunBaby formula, let me know and I'll post it.

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RE: Does anybody find... - 11/2/1998 10:40:00 AM   
Slim

 

Posts: 47
Joined: 10/6/1998
From: Massachusetts
Status: offline
Hi John, I have not used the college program too much....but would love to see your new pro formula. I'd like to compare them to my go against formulas to see if I can up the percentage even more. Thanks.

(in reply to John H)
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RE: Does anybody find... - 11/2/1998 4:02:00 PM   
John H

 

Posts: 1336
Joined: 10/6/1998
From: toronto
Status: offline
This is RUNBABY -- I made it about 4 weeks ago with SURELOCK (which is why it looks weird), and it's on fire. And, as a bonus, it's pretty much a go against totals formula as well.

I do like simplicity in a formula, which this one has, and one that keeps giving you plays after you build it, and this one has.

Rushing Yards 100
HFA 3.963
PSM .007
Lower W 1
Upper W 2

Roll 3


(in reply to John H)
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RE: Does anybody find... - 11/2/1998 5:41:00 PM   
Slim

 

Posts: 47
Joined: 10/6/1998
From: Massachusetts
Status: offline
Looks like a good formula John. I have it at 22-7-2 ytd 75.9%...would you mind telling me what consensus formulas you are using to get that 6-0 Sunday? Thanks. P.S. Atweak woke up this week and went 5-2 ATS. I'll have to monitor it, if it has another good week, I'll have to drop it from my "go against" formulas.

(in reply to John H)
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RE: Does anybody find... - 11/2/1998 5:46:00 PM   
AKDave

 

Posts: 465
Joined: 10/7/1998
From: Anchorage
Status: offline
Thanks John H., Excellent formula. It's interesting also that it makes the same picks with the same results no matter what database is used. You've inspired me to go back and try SURELOCK once more. Dave

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RE: Does anybody find... - 11/2/1998 7:51:00 PM   
AKDave

 

Posts: 465
Joined: 10/7/1998
From: Anchorage
Status: offline
John H. and Slim,
Played around with SURELOCK awhile and using your penchant for simplicity put in 100% passing yards and oddly enough came out with very similar results. 17-7-2, 70.8%, +9.3, and 5-0, 1-0, 2-0, 2-0 last four dates. Oddly, it picked the same 5 games on Sunday as Runbaby with the same result.

Pass yds. 100
HFA 4.43
L.W. 1.50
U.W. 2.00
Roll 26

As with Runbaby, the database seems to make no difference. Dave


(in reply to John H)
Post #: 6
RE: Does anybody find... - 11/2/1998 9:34:00 PM   
John H

 

Posts: 1336
Joined: 10/6/1998
From: toronto
Status: offline
The formulas in my consensus are all custom formula that I've put together with Surelock

BOGUS, which uses FG percentage, points and return yards,

DOWNLOCK, which uses firstdowns

MYBAD, which uses fumbles lost, times sacked, sack yards and penalty yards, hence the title

PASSLOCK, which is similar to Runbaby, only using passing yards -- you seem to have built that one yourself already

and FIVE, which uses Fumbles, Fumbles lost and a couple of yardage stats.

Email me and I can send them to you.


(in reply to John H)
Post #: 7
RE: Does anybody find... - 11/4/1998 3:59:00 PM   
AKDave

 

Posts: 465
Joined: 10/7/1998
From: Anchorage
Status: offline
I created a new formula, with the help of SURELOCK, using only passing yards and rushing yards. It was at 70% but produced few units so I tweaked the upper and lower windows to get more units and came out with 33-16, 67.3%, +15.4 units and 6-2, 3-0, 3-1, 6-1, 5-1 last five weekends. I call it simply PY-RY.

RY 41.61
PY 58.39
HFA 4.64
PSM 0.38
LW 2.0
UW 6.0
Roll 3gms.

Feel free to tweak it. Dave


(in reply to John H)
Post #: 8
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