I remember having a conversation with a service capper I used about three years ago who would give out a bunch of plays and I'd start arguing with the plays. I mentioned this to him and he said "If you have an actual opinion about the games, then you shouldn't use a service."
Using formulae is kind of like using a service -- either one is a true believer and follows them or one is a heretic and talks oneself out of winners.
I did a consensus of my four worst formulae (Atweak, Dandydon, Pickle, Johnboy and Surly -- which produce quite similar numbers to yours) and got TB, Buffalo, Baltimore (four hits!) Tennessee, San Diego and Dallas)
I found it interesting that I got four hits on Baltimore, none on Pittsburrgh from a consensus of my worst formulas and three hits on Baltimore, none on Pittsburgh, from my good formulas. Same thing happens with Buffalo, my worst and best formulae hit it, with no hits on Jacksonville either way.
Which to me would argue no play. I'm off Buffalo because of the Hilton consensus, myself. That's kiss of death, but because I don't believe in reversing a pick, I'm just backing off the play, not going the other way.
The other thing that distresses me is that my handful of decent totals formulas and my little clutch of bad totals formulae are ALL calling almost everything over this week.
I don't know if this is helpful, but I just woke up and it's the best I can do.