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WinPicks records from posts on this forum - 9/24/2002 2:54:10 PM   
Number Freak


Posts: 3294
Joined: 8/28/2002
From: New England (Boston)
Status: offline
Posted NFL picks to THIS forum:
Undertaker....LW: 4-4, YTD: 7-6 53.8%

Hellbringer...LW: 3-5, YTD: 16-10 61.5% (good job)

Number Freak..LW: 1-0, YTD: 4-0 100.0%

Rebel8........LW: 0-0, YTD: 5-1 83.3%
TOTAL.........LW: 8-9, YTD: 32-17 65.3%
I'm going to monitor this all season to see how we are doing with this software. That way, we can all compare picks and help each other succeed. So far, it doesn't look like anyone needs any help. An 8-9 record last week is not good but not terrible. Rebel8 didn't post any plays last week. I think he/she was in Vegas but anyone else who gets in is welcome. Still, we all have had success so far (32-17)! I hope southernfox will post his week 5-15 plays or maybe even week 4. We can get our own consensus of picks going for stronger plays.

For instance, i've personally noticed when my pick agrees with hellbringer, we're 2-0. When my pick agrees with undertaker, we're 2-0 and with Rebel8, we're 1-0. All 4 of us agreed on Chicago in Week 2 and it won. Conversely, if you have a pick that disagrees with someone else's you may want to drop the amount of the wager or the wager itself, maybe not.

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Post #: 1
RE: WinPicks records from posts on this forum - 9/24/2002 3:28:06 PM   
Number Freak


Posts: 3294
Joined: 8/28/2002
From: New England (Boston)
Status: offline
How 'bout let's all post our winpicks for Week 4 on this thread to keep them together.

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(in reply to Number Freak)
Post #: 2
RE: WinPicks records from posts on this forum - 9/24/2002 4:01:56 PM   
hellbringer507

 

Posts: 228
Joined: 8/8/2002
From: las vegas
Status: offline
sounds cool to me.

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Post #: 3
RE: WinPicks records from posts on this forum - 9/24/2002 4:04:31 PM   
guju

 

Posts: 163
Joined: 8/17/2002
From: Westbury, NY
Status: offline
Hey hellbringer...
how's it going... software didnt do too great this weekend...
question for you... have you decided which new formulas if
any you will use? Thanks
Guju

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Post #: 4
RE: WinPicks records from posts on this forum - 9/24/2002 5:44:51 PM   
hellbringer507

 

Posts: 228
Joined: 8/8/2002
From: las vegas
Status: offline
Not yet, got one more week of this stuff I am using and then starting oct 6th I will be using whatever tests out best on the last 90 dates, somehow giving this last month more weight. Then in November I will do it again, so in theroy every week should get stronger. And each month should show improvment. I will post the new formulas before the 6th of Oct.

good day
JEFF

(in reply to Number Freak)
Post #: 5
RE: WinPicks records from posts on this forum - 9/25/2002 1:30:23 PM   
hellbringer507

 

Posts: 228
Joined: 8/8/2002
From: las vegas
Status: offline
Record 16 - 10

Sep 25 2:18pm Football - Pending 16.00 to win 14.55
1. Football - Chicago Bears - spread +3 (-110)
for the entire game held on Sep 29 at 12:00pm [pending]

Sep 25 2:19pm Football - Pending 16.00 to win 13.33
1. Football - Jacksonville Jaguars - spread -3 (-120)
for the entire game held on Sep 29 at 12:00pm [pending]

Sep 25 2:19pm Football - Pending 16.00 to win 14.55
1. Football - Cleveland Browns - spread +6 (-110)
for the entire game held on Sep 29 at 12:00pm [pending]

Sep 25 2:20pm Football - Pending 16.00 to win 13.33
1. Football - New York Giants - spread -2½ (-120)
for the entire game held on Sep 29 at 3:05pm [pending]

Sep 25 2:21pm Football - Pending 16.00 to win 14.55
1. Football - Cincinnati Bengals - spread +7 (-110)
for the entire game held on Sep 29 at 3:05pm [pending]

Sep 25 2:22pm Football - Pending 16.00 to win 14.55
1. Football - Baltimore Ravens - spread +7 (-110)
for the entire game held on Sep 30 at 8:05pm [pending]

(in reply to Number Freak)
Post #: 6
RE: WinPicks records from posts on this forum - 9/26/2002 5:40:42 PM   
southernfox

 

Posts: 243
Joined: 7/7/2000
From: North Carolina
Status: offline
As i have stated earlier i don't officially develop a consensus until at least 4 weeks into the season for NFL, but am refining 5 consensuses at this time...
This weeks unofficial plays are:
Consensus 1: ytd: 9-3
Det
SD
Consensus II: ytd: 7-4
Chi
Det
Oak
Consensus III: ytd: 5-3
Det
Chi
Consensus IV: ytd: 8-2
Det
Chi
SD
Consensus V: ytd: 7-1
Chi
Det
Car
Oak
SD
Mn
I don't trust any of these because most are still using some of last year's stats...but let's just monitor them here..

Also, i have a concensus in college football that is presently 62-3 SU for 95.4%. Does anyone have anything comparable? This one may help us identify some "dogs" if it continues with this type of success. i'll know better after this Saturday's plays.

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Post #: 7
RE: WinPicks records from posts on this forum - 9/27/2002 12:23:58 AM   
Number Freak


Posts: 3294
Joined: 8/28/2002
From: New England (Boston)
Status: offline
My birdie's chirping on Detroit too. Glad to see it pop up in all 5 of yours.

Looks like you have an acceptional SU there, mine top out at 88%, which I thought was good until now.


Good luck.

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Post #: 8
RE: WinPicks records from posts on this forum - 9/27/2002 4:32:45 PM   
Jefe

 

Posts: 75
Joined: 9/22/2002
From:
Status: offline
Hello,

I have been watching this forum for a couple of weeks and notice that most people do not like to share their formulas.

What are the reasons why?

Jefe

(in reply to Number Freak)
Post #: 9
RE: WinPicks records from posts on this forum - 9/27/2002 4:37:34 PM   
Jefe

 

Posts: 75
Joined: 9/22/2002
From:
Status: offline
Hello,

I am new to the forum and I am extremely dedicated to learning and sharpening my skills.

I would love to share my picks and let you guys help me fine tune anything that I am makeing mistakes on.

Here is my first picks (ever):

Week 4: ATS
STRAIGHT WAGER 09/29 [168] CHIEFS KANSAS CITY +3-105 $30.00 $28.00
STRAIGHT WAGER 09/29 [169] BEARS CHICAGO +3 $30.00 $27.00
STRAIGHT WAGER 09/29 [172] LIONS DETROIT +7½ $30.00 $27.00
STRAIGHT WAGER 09/29 [181] COWBOYS DALLAS +11½ $30.00 $27.00
STRAIGHT WAGER 09/29 [189] PATRIOTS NEW ENGLAND -3 $30.00 $27.00
STRAIGHT WAGER 09/29 [186] BENGALS CINCINNATI +7 $30.00 $27.00

Winpick's ATS Picks:
Chargers: Reversed
Carolina: Pass
Jacksonville: Pass
Arizona: Pass

Open to critisism and suggestions

Thank You,

Jefe

(in reply to Number Freak)
Post #: 10
RE: WinPicks records from posts on this forum - 9/27/2002 11:24:21 PM   
Number Freak


Posts: 3294
Joined: 8/28/2002
From: New England (Boston)
Status: offline
Well the first mistake your making is that you're paying too much juice.

I like your picks though. Good luck!

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Post #: 11
RE: WinPicks records from posts on this forum - 9/28/2002 2:27:51 AM   
THE UNDERTAKER

 

Posts: 273
Joined: 8/19/2002
From: Philadelphia
Status: offline
ALL IT TAKES IS ONE BIG GAME TO GET THE JOB DONE! ;)


DROPPED 10 DIMES ON THE MIAMI DOLPHINS -3. :)


Also going with


2) Philadelphia -19


3) Minn Vikings +3


4)DENVER -7

HAVE A SUPER COOL DAY!

(in reply to Number Freak)
Post #: 12
RE: WinPicks records from posts on this forum - 9/28/2002 4:08:52 AM   
Jefe

 

Posts: 75
Joined: 9/22/2002
From:
Status: offline
Number Freak,

Where do you suggest for offshore places? What would be an acceptable juice?

Thank You,

Jeff

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Post #: 13
RE: WinPicks records from posts on this forum - 9/28/2002 4:16:37 AM   
Jefe

 

Posts: 75
Joined: 9/22/2002
From:
Status: offline
I am started with www.betwwts.com

(in reply to Number Freak)
Post #: 14
RE: WinPicks records from posts on this forum - 9/28/2002 7:30:33 AM   
southernfox

 

Posts: 243
Joined: 7/7/2000
From: North Carolina
Status: offline
Jefe..there have been lots of formulas shared on this site in the past couple of years..i posted 10-15 last year, and several have posted some this year. This is the first year i have seen much action in this forum..i believe we can credit that to Numbers Freak and Hellbringer..Go back to the archives and you can find formulas...some good, some bad!

(in reply to Number Freak)
Post #: 15
RE: WinPicks records from posts on this forum - 9/29/2002 2:30:17 AM   
Jefe

 

Posts: 75
Joined: 9/22/2002
From:
Status: offline
Sothernfox,

I have picked those up... thank you.

Do you use Winpicks? When using a consensus for all 791 dates, what is the best total ATS % you have as well as +units? What do you consider above average for those two categories for a consensus of 791 dates?

Jefe

(in reply to Number Freak)
Post #: 16
RE: WinPicks records from posts on this forum - 9/29/2002 6:55:11 AM   
THE UNDERTAKER

 

Posts: 273
Joined: 8/19/2002
From: Philadelphia
Status: offline
Jefe what is the latest Juice being offered at WWTS for the NFL, College football,College basketball and the NBA.

*canbet.com offers -107 on all of the above

*iisportsbook.com offers -107 on all of the above

*planetpinnacle.com offers -105 on the NFL and NBA, and -108 on college basketball and football.

* and a place called sportbet.com offers -105 juice on pro and college football every friday.

For a big bettor like myself I only work with reduced juice sports books. I hope that information above helps you out a little. :)

HAVE A SUPER COOL DAY!

(in reply to Number Freak)
Post #: 17
RE: WinPicks records from posts on this forum - 9/29/2002 11:14:27 AM   
Number Freak


Posts: 3294
Joined: 8/28/2002
From: New England (Boston)
Status: offline
Winpicks

DETROIT +9
3 units

CHICAGO +3
3 units

CAROLINA +6.5
3 units

ARIZONA +3
3 units

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Post #: 18
RE: WinPicks records from posts on this forum - 9/29/2002 11:28:47 AM   
Number Freak


Posts: 3294
Joined: 8/28/2002
From: New England (Boston)
Status: offline
Here is a Winpicks NFL consensus between myself, Hellbringer, Rebel8, Undertaker, Jefe, large dime and rprt. If anyone wishes to not be included, please send me a private message on this forum. Thanks.
Agreements (out of 7 participants)


4-0 selections: Chicago, Carolina

3-0 selections: Cleveland

2-0 selections: Jacksonville, San Diego, Minnesota
Disagreements


3-1 selections: Arizona over NY Giants

2-1 selections:

1-1 selections: Tennessee/Oakland, Tampa/Cincy


Good luck

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Post #: 19
RE: WinPicks records from posts on this forum - 9/30/2002 3:59:47 AM   
Number Freak


Posts: 3294
Joined: 8/28/2002
From: New England (Boston)
Status: offline
Winpicks NFL Week 4 and (YTD results):


04-00-0 (04-00-0 100.0%) Jefe
01-00-0 (01-00-0 100.0%) McSwami
03-01-0 (07-01-0 87.5%) Number Freak
02-00-0 (11-04-0 73.3%) rprt
04-02-0 (04-02-0 66.7%) largedime
04-04-0 (09-05-0 64.3%) Rebel8
03-03-0 (19-13-0 59.3%) hellbringer507
00-04-0 (07-10-0 41.9%) THE UNDERTAKER


21-14-0 (62-35-0 63.9%) TOTAL


Top 5 Consensus

5-0 selections: 0-0
4-0 selections: 1-0 (Carolina - W)
3-0 selections: 1-1 (Chicago - L, Arizona - W)
2-0 selections: 2-0 (Cleveland - W, San Diego - W)

Total: 4-1-0 80.0%
I'll try to get this out in the final hour each week before the games start so we can use it. It's hard for me because I wait 'till the last minute for my picks, but I'll try.


Thanks,

Number Freak

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